As flood alerts from concerned government institutions are being released, the Nigerian Meteorological Agency yesterday specifically declared that from August to October this year, 11 states will experience severe floods as their various soil moisture had reached or were close to saturation.
According to NiMet in its report on Rainfall Situationand Prospects of Flooding in August to October2016, findings revealed that the saturation of soil moisture in the affected states was due tocumulative high intensity rainfall in June and July.
NiMet, in its latest flood alert, said, “After thoroughanalyses of rainfall data from our observatories nationwide for June and July, we wish to provide thefollowing information and advisories to the public, especially those in the affected areas.
Soil moisture has either reached saturation, or near saturationlevels due to cumulative high intensity rainfall insome parts of the country in June and July.
“The affected states include Akwa Ibom, Bauchi,Benue, Borno, Cross River, Delta, Kaduna, Kwara,Nasarawa, Yobe and Zamfara. This means thatfloods should be expected in these areas becausethe soil is no longer able to absorb more rainwater in the coming weeks, which coincide with the peakrainy season.”
The agency in its 2016 Seasonal Rainfall Prediction,had stated that while many parts of Nigeria wouldexperience lower than-normal total rainfall due to theeffect of El Nino, flooding could still be experiencedin such areas, particularly those that were naturallyprone to it.
The SRP identified parts of the North-West, South- West and low-lying areas, as particularly vulnerable to flooding during 2016 rainy season.
These observations and projections were also inagreement with the 2016 Annual Flood Outlook thatwas released by the Nigerian Hydrological ServicesAgency.
NIMet advised governments, communities andindividuals in these vulnerable parts of the country totake proactive actions such as clearing waterchannels and drainage, and also avoid activities thatcould block the free flow of flood water.

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