I am, assuredly, one of the admirers of
the political neo-classism of the former
President of Nigeria, Chief Olugegun
Obasanjo. He is great, indeed, in
understanding the niceties of Nigeria
and Nigerians to the best of his humanly
ability. Some patriots respect him for his
result-oriented calculations and proving,
to an extent, of being the political oracle in
Nigeria since he left office as the President
of Nigeria, against his will, on May 29, 2007.
Like the octopus, he predicted correctly
who succeeded him in 2007, though with
an interior motive that manifested soon
after he installed his personal choice as the
president of Nigeria.
Four years later, precisely in 2011, he
predicted correctly as against popular
contenders for the first citizen. He ensured
that his personal choice was again installed.
But in 2015, probably seeing the handwriting
on the wall – being a student who
believes in theological letter writing, he
joined the ‘prophets of God’ who predicted
correctly who became the President of
Nigeria. Like in competitions, it is on
record that the octopus often errs. Even the
‘prophets of God’ often predict wrongly,
though their hypnotized followers cannot
see the errors of their so-called prophets.
Chief Olugegun Obasanjo, alone, is
a political block in Nigeria and a nononsense
political gladiator in Africa. He
has mastered the continental political art so
much that from his Ota residence, he dishes
out his political concerns/interest in words
in forms of letter writing, press statements
or even pamphlets to any political figure
in Nigeria and beyond. And he often does
so at a time when his action can spring up
serious debates amongst the people.
Of recent concern is his letter to President
Buhari, dissuading reelection interest in
2019 and seeking for a coalition of political
parties to ensure victory against the ruling
All Progressives Party (APC) and the
opposition, the Peoples Democratic Party
(PDP). Some political bigwigs including
seven governors and twenty senators have
reportedly signed on to this new coalition.
But my greatest worry is about the
Igbo nation and its long thirst to taste the
position of the president since the Biafra
war, nearly 50 years now. On this note,
I use this medium to sound a warning to
my people. They must not be deceived by
those trying to divert their target in 2023.
Although it is not good to put one’s eggs
in one basket, the Igbo should have learnt
their lesson and carefully study the past
and present political underpin. They must
not allow the political tide throw them far
away into the deep sea again.
That is why when people like Femi Fani
Kayode, Ayo Fayose and our political oracle
Chief Obasanjo claim to love the Igbo, I
see something fishy. When there was the
intense need to free IPOB’s Nnamdi Kalu,
Kayode did not sign as surety. The trouble
Senator Enyinnaya Abaribe is undergoing
for Kalu was foreseen but ignored. Fayose himself has declared to run for presidency in
2019. And Obasanjo wants all the old faces in
Nigeria’s politics to join hands to form a new
party that will definitely not present an Igbo
Presidential candidate. One is dumbfounded
at the magnitude of love the trio have for the
Igbo and their concern over the possibility of
an Igbo president in Nigeria soon.
And the oracle talks about “rescuing” the
country from a system he lorded over for
eight years. Titling his non-exhaustive letter
“The Way Out: A Clarion Call for Coalition
for Nigeria Movement”, Obasanjo claimed
that President Buhari has performed far
below expectation just as he alleged that
neither the APC nor the PDP has the solution
to the country’s challenges. However, it
should be recalled that Obasanjo was called
to contest when PDP was already formed,
though he became the party leader. APC was
formed, not by his might, but he contributed
greatly in weakening the PDP which he knew
very well.
Obasanjo, in 2013, wrote an 18-page letter
to former President Goodluck Jonathan. One
of the major online news outfits captured the
scenario: “A frustrated Nigerian ex-President
Olusegun Obasanjo has written a critical
letter to President Goodluck Jonathan”. In
that letter, he accused Jonathan of ineptitude
and of taking actions calculated at destroying
Nigeria. Nigerians have, thus, been divided
over this method of letter-writing in advising
a sitting president. Some have claimed that
Obasanjo wants to destabilize the Buhari’s
administration. Others believe it is the right
way in order to create public awareness and
participation.
Even Obasanjo’s daughter, Sen. Iyabo
Obasanjo-Bello, can confirm his father’s
past family relationship as manifest in her
letter written in 2013, though according to her has been overturned by events. In her
four-paragraph statement in response to
critics of her father’s letter to Buhari, she
urged the administration’s agents to benefit
from the advice and admonishment of her
father whom she describes as one of the most
brilliant leaders to ever emerge in modern
Africa.
Reactions have trailed the letter. The
best of responses and story titles over this
burning matter were that of the Minister of
Information, Alhaji Lai Muhammad and that
of Vanguard Newspapers with the caption:
“Lai Muhammad schools Obasanjo on
Buhar’s performance.” Lai proved his worth
for the job. He knew that Obasanjo has gone
beyond the boundary. Yet, he knew the worth
of Obasanjo as an elder statesman of national
and international repute who deserves
respect, knowing that old men can err even
while admonishing or expressing concerns
over serious matters. Lai has proved political
ranking far above the likes of Okukpe, Fani-
Kayode and even Labaran Maku who merely
sought relevance than sagacity in handling
national matters. I was quite captivated by
Lai’s response.
But something, though awkward, is glaring.
The gentleman agreement derived from
different party constitutions, especially the
PDP and APC, is the zoning of the presidential
slot, including principal offices, between the
north and the south – the political dichotomy
that has killed merit and commitment in
governance. The north has three sub-zones
as well as the south, though that of the south
is made complex with the existence of two
major ethnic nationalities therein.
That is how the PDP managed its 16
years of leadership with the south ruling
for 14 out of the 16 years. In 2015, the north
got the presidency and by the guarded
agreement would want to have its eight years
uninterrupted. This can only be possible if a
second tenure is given to President Buhari.
But by any other means, if any northerner
under any party, takes over in 2019, the
possibility of the north having 12 years may
not be overruled because the new president
will seek for a second tenure. With that, the
south west may fight and grab the position
afterwards because the Igbo would have lost
again. Could this be the calculations against
the Igbo?
I must warn the Igbo to be very conscious
of being distracted from the 2023 focus.
That is how it begins. Obasabjo may have
an interest that is not Igbo in the future
regime. It is on record that the governor of
Gombe state, Alhaji Ibrahim Dankwambo,
is the only loyal governor to the PDP among
the Muslim dominated states of the north,
though performing. Former governors Rabiu
Musa Kwankwaso, former Speaker, Rt. Hon.
Aminu Waziri Tambuwal and a few others,
are very good aspirants for future President
of Nigeria. Obasanjo is, indeed, a political
master game planner and executor. His
influence can never be underestimated. But
the doubt remains if he can maneuver the
political scene as he wishes in 2019. And what
the Igbo can take home later, if they believe in
him. Shine your eyes, my Igbo people. I rest
my case.

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